The ceasefire plan for President Trump, which was announced yesterday (June 23, 2025) entered into force overnight, but it seems that it had collapsed within hours before restarting it. After declaring a “Complete and the” ceasefire “group between Israel and Iran has become effective about six hours after its announcement. I started with a temporary stop for 12 hours in hostilities and then moved to a full ceasefire. He urged both countries not to violate the truce, saying that it could be “forever” and the Qatari mediation is credited with the deal.
These are the latest developments in the escalation of hostilities between Israel and Iran in mid -June 2025, which envied a significant disruption in global air freight operations, with trade routes from East and West across the Middle East bearing the implications of the repercussions. The immediate closure of the air field on Iran, Iraq, Jordan and Israel has sparked widespread abolition of flying and re -guidance, especially affecting the air freight movements between South Asia, Southeast Asia and Europe. These developments revealed the weaknesses of the current air logistics structure and strengthened the necessity of long -term political interventions to enhance operational flexibility.
According to the latest Worldac data, the sizes of goods arising from the Middle East and South Asia (MESA) decreased by almost 9 % during the second week of June, increasing 8 % in the previous week. The Levant region-including Israel, Jordan, Lebanon and Syria-decreased by 21 % a week, and is largely attributed to the founding planes after Israeli strikes on Iranian military targets. It is worth noting that the goods of goods inside Paradise are contracting by 26 %, which reflects both operating paralysis and commercial demand subject to the EID-IDHA vacation.
Shipping capacity throughout Iran and Syria witnessed almost a full withdrawal, as Iraq recorded a decrease of 84 % in the lifting capacity. This loss in the abdomen and charging capacity was especially harmful to sectors with a time -sensitive air conditions such as interlocutor, pharmaceutical preparations, and high -value electronics. While Worldcd reports that global air freight rates have been relatively stable at $ 2.41/kilogram, the Mesa region witnessed a decrease in interest rates on an annual basis by 22 %-which is not respected from cost savings, but from registered folders and incompetence.
The additional data from the S& GLOBAL is a 10 % reduction in the demand for jet fuel throughout the Gulf, driven by about 1500 flying cancellation per day. These discounts are assembled through the auxiliary service sectors, including the employment of aircraft, the maintenance of the line, and the handling of the land – which affects the total cost of charging across the affected roads.
South and Southeast Asia: Increased exposure to network fluctuations
Sources in India and Southeast Asia – Combined responsible areas have been affected by more than three million tons of annual air exports – in particular to redirect the flights that were previously transported through Dubai, Doha and Abu Dhabi. The imposition of the longest southern transfers across the Arab or Central Asia in the average transportation times by 2-4 hours. Accordingly, airlines reviewed the customs tariff structures, as shipping rates increased by 15-20 % for shipments to Western Europe and North America.
In India, drug exports – exceeding $ 6 billion annually in the value of air cargo – are intense to pressure. Fast regional service providers reports from the margins that have been eroded due to the availability of limited shipping, unexpected access to the openings, and increasing insurance premiums associated with geopolitical risks.
Treating non -fire disorders
Continuous disturbances represent a new category of non -transmitted commercial barriers, recognition of politics and diplomatic response. ICAO and the World Bank have long called
Diversify air corridors and insert flexibility frameworks in national logistical strategies. These principles now require operation.
For the Indian and Asian semi -continent markets, the creation of air cargo flexibility agreements – including alternative guidance rights and widespread bilateral approvals to activate the emergency corridor – will partially hedge against the closure of future airspace. Complementary efforts for rapid participation in one iATA record, can increase the parties to electronic road certificates from simplifying the organizational compliance with the re -directed graphics.
As the regional crisis continues, the operators are increasingly recharged traffic through Turkish, Azerbaijani air spaces and Central Asia. While the United Arab Emirates Centers, such as Dubai, recorded a 15 % recovery in the weekly load – according to Worldac – this rise reflects the volumes instead of the basic business growth.
In the medium term, carrier preferences may turn into alternative axes such as Almaty, Tashkent or Muscat, provided that they are invested in the required customs infrastructure, the ability to process air cargo, and diplomatic airspace agreements. This development emphasizes the importance of multilateral coordination through platforms such as the International Air Cargo Association (TIACA) and South Asia Regional Integration initiative (SARITI).
Recommendations for stakeholders in air charging
The professionals of air transport policies and industrial leaders must give priority to the following:
1. Diversification of critical charging corridors, especially along the Asian axis – Asia – Ethics involvement – commercial corridors in the Gulf – East Africa.
2. Diplomatic negotiations to secure lighting rights and clarification in emergency situations in geopolitical sensitive areas.
3. Mmary digital documents standards (such as EG-AWB, electronic charge notes) to reduce the friction of the processing amid redirect.
4. Spreading predictive risk management systems using logistical platforms that support artificial intelligence and Blockchain.
5. The quantitative measurement of economic effects through platforms such as the uniform logistical platform in India (ULIP) to inform compensation and emergency planning frameworks.
The airspace in the Middle East is a test for the formulation of structural adaptation to the air freight industry. With the regional lifting capacity of approximately 20 % and costs under pressure, the need to plan flexibility in the long run has become inevitable. As for India and Southeast Asia -which is heading to the strategic contract in global value chains -the lesson is unambiguous: the movement of movement must be in the network design, digital governance and international aviation diplomacy.
This incident, although stability in the short term, may eventually be a catalyst for a more distributed and safe global charging system. Stakeholders all over the spectrum of policy must deal with urgency and cohesion to ensure continuity, compliance and competitiveness in the air scene of the airflower after the crisis.
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